[Runequest] The RQIII Dodge fix
snarks at gmail.com
Tue Oct 8 20:59:36 EST 2013
"The odds of coincidentally rolling a special or critical dodge at the same
moment as a special or critical incoming attack are virtually
This is misleading. The odds of dodging a critical hit are the same as the
odds of getting a crit at any other time. If your crit is 4%, then the odds
of critically dodging are 1 in 25. Not infinitessimal, but also not likely.
The odds of any single exchange being a critical dodge of a critical hit
are infinitessimal. But once you have established that a critical hit has
occurred, you can wipe out the odds of the initial crit. The chance of
getting a crit are the same as if the attacker had fumbled, failed, normal,
or special hit.
Don't you just hate self-referential sigs?
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